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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Zwolle

T T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

67%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 8

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	21	17	3	1	+44	54
2	Ajax	21	15	4	2	+30	49
3	PSV Eindhoven	21	13	7	1	+23	46
4	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+7	33
5	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
6	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Twente	21	8	6	7	+1	30
8	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	8	4	+6	29
9	Nijmegen	21	6	7	8	-12	25
10	Heracles	21	6	6	9	-7	24
11	Groningen	20	5	8	7	-1	23
12	Willem II	21	5	7	9	-10	22
13	Zwolle	21	5	5	11	-22	20
14	Sparta Rotterdam	21	4	6	11	-10	18
15	Excelsior	21	4	6	11	-15	18
16	Den Haag	21	5	2	14	-21	17
17	Roda	21	2	10	9	-15	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	21	4	4	13	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+27	29
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Groningen	10	2	5	3	-6	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Roda	11	1	5	5	-5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Feyenoord	10	8	1	1	+17	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
8	Groningen	10	3	3	4	+5	12
9	Twente	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-9	11
11	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
12	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-13	9
14	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	Den Haag	11	2	1	8	-15	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Excelsior	11	1	3	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.