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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Mainz

S T U U T

2–0

Full-time

Augsburg

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

74%

37%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

3,3

2,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 13. · Augsburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	19	14	4	1	+31	46
2	RB Leipzig	19	13	3	3	+19	42
3	Ein Frankfurt	19	10	5	4	+10	35
4	Dortmund	19	9	7	3	+18	34
5	Hoffenheim	19	8	10	1	+16	34
6	Hertha	19	10	3	6	+6	33
7	FC Koln	19	8	8	3	+12	32
8	Freiburg	19	8	2	9	-9	26
9	Leverkusen	19	7	3	9	-1	24
10	Augsburg	19	6	6	7	-4	24
11	M'gladbach	19	6	5	8	-6	23
12	Schalke 04	19	6	4	9	+1	22
13	Mainz	19	6	4	9	-8	22
14	Wolfsburg	19	5	4	10	-10	19
15	Werder Bremen	19	4	4	11	-17	16
16	Hamburg	19	4	4	11	-19	16
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	19	4	3	12	-13	15
18	Darmstadt	19	2	3	14	-26	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+22	24
3	Hertha	9	8	0	1	+12	24
4	Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+14	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	9	6	3	0	+9	21
6	Hoffenheim	10	5	5	0	+11	20
7	FC Koln	9	5	4	0	+10	19
8	M'gladbach	10	5	3	2	+8	18
9	Freiburg	9	6	0	3	+0	18
10	Schalke 04	10	5	1	4	+6	16
11	Mainz	9	4	3	2	+4	15
12	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-8	11
15	Werder Bremen	10	3	1	6	-4	10
16	Darmstadt	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Wolfsburg	10	2	2	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	RB Leipzig	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Hoffenheim	9	3	5	1	+5	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	Dortmund	10	3	4	3	+4	13
6	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	+2	13
7	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Wolfsburg	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Leverkusen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
10	Hertha	10	2	3	5	-6	9
11	Freiburg	10	2	2	6	-9	8
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	2	1	7	-8	7
13	Mainz	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-5	6
15	Werder Bremen	9	1	3	5	-13	6
16	Hamburg	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	M'gladbach	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Darmstadt	9	0	0	9	-18	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.