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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Zwolle

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Ajax

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,2

1,8

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 42%

18%

65%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

59%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

41%

47%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,1

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 8

7 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 16. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	18	14	3	1	+37	45
2	Ajax	17	11	4	2	+22	37
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	10	7	1	+19	37
4	Heerenveen	17	9	4	4	+14	31
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	7	2	+9	28
6	Utrecht	16	7	6	3	+6	27
7	Twente	17	6	6	5	+3	24
8	Vitesse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
9	Heracles	18	5	6	7	-7	21
10	Groningen	17	5	5	7	-1	20
11	Willem II	17	4	7	6	-7	19
12	Nijmegen	17	4	7	6	-10	19
13	Sparta Rotterdam	18	4	5	9	-8	17
14	Den Haag	18	5	2	11	-15	17
15	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-11	16
16	Zwolle	17	3	5	9	-21	14
17	Roda	18	1	10	7	-15	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	18	3	3	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Twente	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Heracles	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
9	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	Groningen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
17	Zwolle	9	2	3	4	-10	9
18	Roda	9	0	5	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Groningen	9	3	2	4	+5	11
9	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	9	1	4	4	-9	7
13	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Nijmegen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Excelsior	9	1	2	6	-10	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.