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Referee: Luc Wouters

St Truiden

U T S S T

0–3

Full-time

Genk

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,2

1,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

28%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

56%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

52%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

36% Possession 64%

4 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Genk 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	Club Brugge	16	12	2	2	+27	38
3	Mechelen	25	11	5	9	+2	38
4	Genk	25	11	5	9	-1	38
5	Anderlecht	17	11	4	2	+26	37
6	Standard	25	9	9	7	+9	36
7	Oostende	16	10	2	4	+15	32
8	Kortrijk	25	8	6	11	-11	30
9	Gent	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
11	St Truiden	25	7	5	13	-7	26
12	Lokeren	25	6	8	11	-7	26
13	Beveren	25	5	9	11	-12	24
14	Westerlo	25	5	7	13	-22	22
15	Eupen	25	5	6	14	-24	21
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	25	5	3	17	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	9	2	2	+10	29
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+7	25
3	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
4	Standard	12	7	2	3	+11	23
5	St Truiden	13	6	4	3	+7	22
6	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
7	Oostende	9	6	2	1	+15	20
8	Waregem	8	6	2	0	+9	20
9	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+19	19
10	Kortrijk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Beveren	13	4	6	3	+2	18
12	Lokeren	12	4	5	3	+1	17
13	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
14	Eupen	13	3	5	5	-7	14
15	Westerlo	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+10	15
4	Standard	13	2	7	4	-2	13
5	Mechelen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
6	Oostende	7	4	0	3	+0	12
7	Kortrijk	13	3	3	7	-14	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
9	Westerlo	13	2	4	7	-18	10
10	Lokeren	13	2	3	8	-8	9
11	Genk	12	2	3	7	-11	9
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	2	1	10	-13	7
13	Eupen	12	2	1	9	-17	7
14	Gent	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Beveren	12	1	3	8	-14	6
16	St Truiden	12	1	1	10	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.