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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Willem II

T T U T T

3–0

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

19%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

71%

33%

Both score Ø 60%

71%

48%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 14. · VVV Venlo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	19	1	2	+36	58
2	Ajax	21	15	3	3	+41	48
3	AZ Alkmaar	22	14	4	4	+21	46
4	Zwolle	22	11	6	5	+2	39
5	Feyenoord	21	10	6	5	+20	36
6	Utrecht	20	8	7	5	-2	31
7	Vitesse	19	8	6	5	+10	30
8	Heerenveen	21	8	6	7	-2	30
9	VVV Venlo	21	7	8	6	-2	29
10	Den Haag	20	8	4	8	-3	28
11	Excelsior	22	7	4	11	-7	25
12	Heracles	21	6	6	9	-12	24
13	Groningen	21	5	7	9	-2	22
14	Willem II	21	4	5	12	-16	17
15	Twente	22	4	4	14	-16	16
16	NAC Breda	21	4	4	13	-19	16
17	Roda	21	4	4	13	-22	16
18	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	5	14	-27	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+22	27
3	Zwolle	11	7	2	2	+8	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+9	22
5	Heracles	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Utrecht	10	4	5	1	+1	17
9	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	Roda	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	Twente	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+2	10
16	NAC Breda	10	3	1	6	-11	10
17	Willem II	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	3	1	+12	24
3	Ajax	10	6	3	1	+19	21
4	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+12	18
6	VVV Venlo	10	4	5	1	+2	17
7	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Zwolle	11	4	4	3	-6	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
13	NAC Breda	11	1	3	7	-8	6
14	Groningen	10	1	2	7	-7	5
15	Twente	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Roda	11	1	1	9	-19	4
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Heracles	10	0	3	7	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.