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Eredivisie

Referee: Christian Mulder

VVV Venlo

T T T U U

3–3

Full-time

Willem II

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 12. · Willem II 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	0	1	+25	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	1	3	+7	28
3	Ajax	12	8	1	3	+25	25
4	Zwolle	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Feyenoord	12	5	4	3	+7	19
6	Vitesse	11	5	3	3	+8	18
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+0	18
8	Den Haag	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Excelsior	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Utrecht	10	5	1	4	-4	16
11	Heracles	12	4	3	5	-4	15
12	VVV Venlo	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-9	11
15	Willem II	12	3	1	8	-12	10
16	Twente	13	3	0	10	-9	9
17	NAC Breda	12	2	3	7	-16	9
18	Roda	12	2	1	9	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Zwolle	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Heracles	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Groningen	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
7	Ajax	5	3	0	2	+7	9
8	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
9	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Willem II	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Roda	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	NAC Breda	6	1	1	4	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+18	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Excelsior	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Feyenoord	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Zwolle	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Utrecht	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-9	6
13	NAC Breda	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	0	3	3	-8	3
15	Roda	7	1	0	6	-10	3
16	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-8	1
17	Groningen	5	0	0	5	-6	0
18	Twente	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.