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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Willem II
U U S U U
2–3
Full-time
Zwolle
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
81%
38%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 14. · Zwolle 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 13 1 2 +24 40
2 Ajax 16 11 2 3 +34 35
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Zwolle 16 8 6 2 +8 30
5 Feyenoord 15 7 5 3 +10 26
6 Utrecht 13 7 2 4 -1 23
7 Den Haag 15 7 2 6 -2 23
8 Heracles 16 6 3 7 -9 21
9 Heerenveen 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Vitesse 13 5 4 4 +7 19
11 Groningen 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Excelsior 16 5 2 9 -8 17
13 VVV Venlo 16 3 7 6 -7 16
14 Willem II 16 4 4 8 -10 16
15 Twente 16 4 1 11 -9 13
16 NAC Breda 16 3 4 9 -16 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -13 11
18 Roda 16 3 2 11 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -17 Willem II – Zwolle 2–0 10. Dec -16 Zwolle – Willem II 0–0 19. Mar -16 Zwolle – Willem II 4–1 3. Oct -15 Willem II – Zwolle 0–1

Match report

Willem II Zwolle
1–0 Fran Sol ⚽
10′
20′
🟨 Dirk Marcellis
Konstantinos Tsimikas 🟨
30′
2–0 B. Rienstra ⚽
36′
Mattijs Branderhorst 🟨
39′
40′
⚽ E. Bakker 2–1
Half-time 2–1
Ismail Azzaoui 🟨
55′
59′
⚽ M. Saymak 2–2
E. Bakker
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ T. Haye
75′
75′
🔁 P. Parzyszek
↦ T. Ondaan
83′
🔁 S. Woudstra
↦ K. Ehizibue
85′
⚽ M. Saymak 2–3
J. Croux 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
87′
88′
🟨 Youness Mokhtar
E. Lieftink 🔁
↦ Chirivella
89′
89′
🔁 W. Marinus
↦ Y. Mokhtar
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Willem II

4-4-2
31 M. Branderhorst G
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
2 F. Lewis D
21 K. Tsimikas D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 T. Haye M
6 Chirivella M
38 I. Azzaoui M
8 B. Ogbeche F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (10)
19 M. El Hankouri
11 J. Croux
20 E. Lieftink
1 T. Wellenreuther
5 J. van der Linden
7 K. Coulibaly
14 D. Crowley
43 T. Kok
59 J. Ogenia
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: E. van de Looi

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
23 E. Bakker M
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 T. Ondaan F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
9 P. Parzyszek
35 S. Woudstra
8 W. Marinus
10 S. Nijland
14 E. Israelsson
16 M. van der Hart
29 S. van Looy
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.