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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Willem II
U U T T U
0–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
21%
63%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
79%
53%
Both score Ø 66%
79%
53%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 14. · AZ Alkmaar 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 1 2 +31 52
2 Ajax 20 14 3 3 +39 45
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Feyenoord 20 10 6 4 +21 36
5 Zwolle 20 10 6 4 +5 36
6 Vitesse 18 7 6 5 +8 27
7 Heerenveen 19 7 6 6 -2 27
8 Den Haag 19 8 3 8 -3 27
9 Utrecht 18 7 6 5 -3 27
10 VVV Venlo 20 6 8 6 -3 26
11 Excelsior 20 7 3 10 -6 24
12 Heracles 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Groningen 20 5 7 8 +0 22
14 Willem II 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Twente 20 4 4 12 -11 16
16 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -17 16
17 Roda 20 4 3 13 -22 15
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II AZ Alkmaar
6′
M. Seuntjens 0–1
A. Jahanbakhsh
14′
A. Jahanbakhsh 0–2
O. Idrissi
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ F. Lewis
40′
Half-time 0–2
Bartholomew Ogbeche 🟨
48′
Pedro Chirivella 🟨
61′
T. Haye 🔁
↦ B. Ogbeche
61′
64′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ T. Koopmeiners
73′
🟨 Jonas Svensson
78′
🔁 O. Mihálik
↦ O. Idrissi
81′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ M. Seuntjens
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Willem II

4-4-2
31 M. Branderhorst G
5 J. van der Linden D
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
2 F. Lewis D
21 K. Tsimikas D
23 B. Rienstra M
6 Chirivella M
38 I. Azzaoui M
8 B. Ogbeche F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (9)
34 D. Dankerlui
10 T. Haye
19 M. El Hankouri
15 G. Wijnaldum
93 S. van der Lei
11 J. Croux
1 T. Wellenreuther
14 D. Crowley
20 E. Lieftink

Coach: E. van de Looi

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Koopmeiners M
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
22 O. Idrissi F
Bench (8)
8 J. van Overeem
27 O. Mihálik
38 F. Druijf
49 M. Hoedemakers
16 G. Coutinho
4 R. Vlaar
26 O. Wijndal
23 R. van Rhijn

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.