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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Excelsior

S T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Heracles

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

65%

74%

Both score Ø 68%

65%

71%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 11

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Excelsior 10. · Heracles 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	32	26	3	3	+48	81
2	Ajax	31	22	4	5	+49	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	32	21	5	6	+31	68
4	Feyenoord	31	17	6	8	+30	57
5	Heerenveen	30	12	9	9	+1	45
6	Zwolle	32	12	8	12	-5	44
7	Vitesse	28	11	8	9	+14	41
8	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	-2	41
9	Den Haag	30	11	7	12	-8	40
10	Excelsior	31	11	6	14	-10	39
11	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-17	37
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Groningen	31	7	12	12	-4	33
14	Willem II	31	9	6	16	-10	33
15	NAC Breda	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Roda	32	7	6	19	-29	27
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	32	5	8	19	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+35	46
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+11	32
5	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Groningen	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
9	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
10	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
11	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
12	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
13	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Twente	16	4	5	7	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
16	Roda	16	4	4	8	-12	16
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	11	2	3	+13	35
3	Ajax	16	10	3	3	+22	33
4	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
9	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-6	19
10	Utrecht	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Roda	16	3	2	11	-17	11
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	15	1	4	10	-21	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.