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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Vitesse
S S T U S
0–0
Full-time
Heracles
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 23/27 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
65%
78%
Both score Ø 76%
74%
78%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
26 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 27 22 2 3 +37 68
2 Ajax 27 19 4 4 +47 61
3 AZ Alkmaar 27 17 5 5 +24 56
4 Feyenoord 27 13 6 8 +20 45
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 27 11 7 9 -3 40
7 Vitesse 23 10 7 6 +12 37
8 Den Haag 26 10 6 10 -4 36
9 Heracles 27 10 6 11 -12 36
10 Heerenveen 26 9 8 9 -4 35
11 Excelsior 28 10 5 13 -6 35
12 VVV Venlo 27 7 12 8 -6 33
13 Groningen 27 6 11 10 -3 29
14 Willem II 28 7 6 15 -11 27
15 NAC Breda 27 7 6 14 -13 27
16 Sparta Rotterdam 27 5 6 16 -26 21
17 Twente 28 4 7 17 -20 19
18 Roda 27 4 5 18 -33 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Heracles
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Niemeijer
↦ S. Jakubiak
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
76′
76′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ V. Vermeij
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ R. Beerens
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
24 J. Houwen G
37 G. Kashia D
8 V. Karavaev D
5 M. Miazga D
43 L. Faye D
7 R. Beerens F
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (7)
16 M. van Bergen
10 T. Bruns
2 F. Dabo
14 L. Castaignos
22 R. Pasveer
23 M. Ali
50 T. Oude Kotte

Coach: H. Fraser

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 D. Wuytens D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 R. Baas D
21 S. Jakubiak M
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (10)
29 R. Niemeijer
9 P. Gladon
5 B. van Hintum
6 D. Van den Buijs
7 B. Darri
14 M. Osman
15 J. Navrátil
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer
30 T. van de Berg

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.