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Eredivisie
Referee: Rob Dieperink
FC Emmen
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
78%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
28 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match FC Emmen 15. · VVV Venlo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +33 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +21 22
3 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Heracles 9 6 1 2 +4 19
5 VVV Venlo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +3 12
7 Excelsior 9 3 3 3 -2 12
8 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Den Haag 9 3 2 4 -7 11
10 Willem II 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Heerenveen 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 -2 10
13 Zwolle 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Vitesse 8 2 3 3 -1 9
15 FC Emmen 9 2 2 5 -14 8
16 De Graafschap 9 2 1 6 -13 7
17 Groningen 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 NAC Breda 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen VVV Venlo
15′
P. Mlapa 0–1
P. Joosten
19′
🟥 Roel Janssen
21′
🔁 C. Kum
↦ P. Joosten
R. Niemeijer 🔁
↦ A. Bannink
23′
26′
🟨 Moreno Rutten
34′
🟨 Danny Post
Half-time 0–1
Stef Gronsveld 🟨
54′
59′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ P. Mlapa
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ S. Gronsveld
65′
1–1 S. Gronsveld
G. Bijl
65′
Anco Jansen 🟨
68′
Hilal Ben Moussa 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 J. Grot
↦ T. Sušić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-4-2
12 K. Scherpen G
22 C. Cavlan D
4 N. Bakker D
2 S. Gronsveld D
13 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl M
10 A. Bannink M
20 M. Chacón M
8 H. Ben Moussa M
6 A. Jansen F
25 J. Arias F
Bench (9)
11 R. Niemeijer
17 L. Slagveer
1 P. van der Vlag
3 T. Siekman
14 J. Bourdouxhe
15 E. Suliman
21 K. Engbers
26 D. Telgenkamp
32 R. de Vos

Coach: D. Lukkien

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
31 T. Sušić M
10 J. Opoku F
26 P. Mlapa F
9 R. Seuntjens M
19 P. Joosten F
Bench (10)
14 C. Kum
8 P. van Ooijen
11 J. Grot
7 M. Samuelsen
16 D. van Crooij
20 D. van Bruggen
21 A. Borgmann
22 B. Verbong
25 E. Korkmaz
29 E. Linthorst

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rob Dieperink · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.