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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Gent
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 54%
71%
36%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
86%
64%
Both score Ø 72%
71%
73%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
2,6
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Club Brugge 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 Anderlecht 7 6 1 0 +12 19
4 Antwerp 8 6 1 1 +7 19
5 St Truiden 11 4 5 2 +3 17
6 Gent 7 5 1 1 +11 16
7 Charleroi 11 4 2 5 +0 14
8 Kortrijk 11 4 2 5 -2 14
9 Oostende 11 4 2 5 -7 14
10 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
11 Cercle Brugge 11 3 3 5 -9 12
12 Beveren 11 1 7 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 11 3 1 7 -10 10
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 2 8 -12 5
15 Lokeren 11 1 2 8 -13 5
16 Waregem 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
34′
🟨 Christophe Diandy
1–0 Giorgi Chakvetadze
36′
Arnaud Souquet 🟨
41′
42′
Victor Osimhen 1–1
44′
🟨 Steeven Willems
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Ali Gholizadeh
↦ Adama Niane
2–1 Giorgi Chakvetadze
Stallone Limbombe
48′
61′
🔁 Jérémy Perbet
↦ Massimo Bruno
70′
🟨 Martos
Nana Asare 🟨
80′
Taiwo Awoniyi 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
80′
81′
🔁 Ken Nkuba
↦ Christophe Diandy
Aboubakary Koita 🔁
↦ Stallone Limbombe
84′
86′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
Renato Neto 🔁
↦ Brecht Dejaegere
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
20 Yannick Thoelen G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
5 Igor Plastun D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
44 Anderson Esiti M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
23 Franko Andrijašević M
9 Stallone Limbombe M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
Bench (7)
92 Colin Coosemans
29 Thibault De Smet
76 Timothy Derijck
10 Renato Neto
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
16 Jonathan Christian David
22 Aboubakary Koita

Coach: J. Thorup

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
8 Martos D
23 Steeven Willems D
25 Núrio D
77 Massimo Bruno F
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
13 Christophe Diandy M
14 Cristian Benavente M
9 Adama Niane F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (9)
15 Valentin Baume
69 Rémy Riou
4 Maxime Busi
6 Gjoko Zajkov
22 Gaetan Hendrickx
20 Nathan Rodes
88 Ali Gholizadeh
18 Ken Nkuba
10 Jérémy Perbet

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.