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Eredivisie
Referee: Erwin Blank
VVV Venlo
U S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,1
3,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 8. · Den Haag 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +33 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +21 22
3 Feyenoord 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Heracles 8 5 1 2 +1 16
5 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +3 12
6 Excelsior 9 3 3 3 -2 12
7 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -2 12
8 VVV Venlo 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Den Haag 8 3 2 3 -5 11
10 Willem II 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Heerenveen 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 Zwolle 8 3 1 4 -2 10
13 Vitesse 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 FC Emmen 9 2 2 5 -14 8
15 For Sittard 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 -11 7
17 Groningen 7 1 1 5 -7 4
18 NAC Breda 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Den Haag
1′
🟨 Indy Groothuizen
1–0 P. Mlapa
2′
Patrick Joosten 🟨
6′
45′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
Half-time 1–0
65′
🟨 Shaquille Pinas
J. Grot 🔁
↦ P. Mlapa
68′
68′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
68′
🔁 E. Falkenburg
↦ T. Necid
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
76′
Roel Janssen 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 J. Goossens
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
2–0 J. Grot
M. Rutten
85′
87′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
M. Samuelsen 🔁
↦ J. Opoku
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
31 T. Sušić M
10 J. Opoku F
26 P. Mlapa F
9 R. Seuntjens M
19 P. Joosten F
Bench (12)
11 J. Grot
8 P. van Ooijen
7 M. Samuelsen
14 C. Kum
16 D. van Crooij
20 D. van Bruggen
21 A. Borgmann
22 B. Verbong
25 E. Korkmaz
29 E. Linthorst
35 S. Steijn
38 Y. Roemer

Coach: M. Steijn

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
3 G. Troupée D
19 S. Pinas D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (11)
26 T. Goppel
30 E. Falkenburg
11 J. Goossens
5 W. Kanon
6 D. Gorter
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
20 N. Kuipers
22 R. Zwinkels
25 R. Polley
33 M. Lorenzen

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Erwin Blank · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.