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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Sp Braga

T S U T S

1–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 8. · Rio Ave 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.