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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Guimaraes
T U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Feb -16 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 3–3 27. Sep -15 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 0–1

Match report

Guimaraes Sp Braga
15′
⚽ Pedro Santos 0–1
Marcelo Goiano
28′
🟨 Nikola Vukčević
31′
🟨 Rafa Silva
João Aurélio 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
Raphael 🔁
↦ Valente
65′
66′
🔁 Djavan Ferreira
↦ Wilson Eduardo
70′
🟨 Mauro
Moussa Marega 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 M. Bakić
↦ Rafa Silva
Areias 🔁
↦ M. Marega
79′
Bruno Gaspar 🔁
↦ João Aurélio
79′
79′
🔁 Ricardo Horta
↦ Pedro Santos
80′
🟨 Lazar Rosić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-4-2
1 Douglas Jesus G
20 João Aurélio D
3 Josué Sá D
2 Pedrão D
41 Rúben Ferreira D
5 Rafael Miranda M
16 P. Hurtado M
58 João Pedro M
18 Tiquinho F
7 Valente M
21 M. Marega F
Bench (7)
81 Raphael
49 Areias
76 Bruno Gaspar
4 Marcos Valente
6 Moreno
10 Tozé
56 João Miguel

Coach: Pedro Martins

Sp Braga

4-4-2
28 Marafona G
15 Baiano D
5 W. Boly D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
3 L. Rosić D
63 Mauro M
35 N.S. Vukčević M
18 Rafa Silva F
7 Wilson Eduardo F
23 Pedro Santos M
9 Koka F
Bench (7)
16 Djavan Ferreira
8 M. Bakić
21 Ricardo Horta
4 V. Sasso
19 N. Stojiljković
25 Pedro Tiba
92 Matheus

Coach: José Peseiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.