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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Porto
U S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Estoril
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jan -17 Estoril – Porto 1–2 20. Aug -16 Porto – Estoril 1–0 30. Jan -16 Estoril – Porto 1–3 29. Aug -15 Porto – Estoril 2–0

Match report

Porto Estoril
M. Marega 🔁
↦ Tiquinho
32′
1–0 M. Marega ⚽
35′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Allano
2–0 Y. Brahimi ⚽
54′
3–0 M. Marega ⚽
Óliver Torres
62′
63′
🔁 J. Aguilar
↦ André Claro
4–0 Ivan Marcano ⚽
Óliver Torres
70′
Hernâni 🔁
↦ Jesús Corona
71′
74′
🔁 Aylton Boa Morte
↦ Carlinhos
Danilo Pereira 🟨
77′
H. Herrera 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
81′
85′
🔁 Wesley
↦ Kléber
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
1 Casillas G
5 Ivan Marcano D
13 Alex Telles D
28 Felipe D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
22 Danilo Pereira M
10 Óliver Torres M
8 Y. Brahimi M
29 Tiquinho F
9 V. Aboubakar F
17 Jesús Corona M
Bench (7)
11 M. Marega
7 Hernâni
16 H. Herrera
2 M. Pereira
12 José Sá
23 D. Reyes
25 Otavinho

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Estoril

4-2-3-1
31 Moreira G
28 Gonçalo Brandão D
7 Mano D
5 Joel D
4 Pedro Monteiro D
8 Eduardo M
76 Carlinhos M
17 Lucas Evangelista M
10 Kléber F
22 André Claro F
11 Allano M
Bench (7)
29 J. Aguilar
70 Aylton Boa Morte
23 Wesley
14 Gustavo Tocantins
15 O. Diakhite
20 Matheus Índio
96 Luís Ribeiro

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.