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Primeira Liga
Referee: Carlos Xistra
Chaves
T S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Porto
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
27%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
37%
57%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Chaves 9. · Porto 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 31 23 6 2 +48 75
2 Porto 30 20 9 1 +49 69
3 Sp Lisbon 30 19 7 4 +31 64
4 Guimaraes 31 17 8 6 +16 59
5 Sp Braga 30 14 9 7 +15 51
6 Maritimo 30 13 8 9 +3 47
7 Rio Ave 31 13 6 12 +1 45
8 Boavista 31 9 11 11 -4 38
9 Chaves 30 8 13 9 -1 37
10 Feirense 30 10 6 14 -18 36
11 Vitoria Setubal 31 9 8 14 -8 35
12 Pacos Ferreira 30 7 11 12 -10 32
13 Belenenses 30 8 8 14 -17 32
14 Estoril 31 8 7 16 -9 31
15 Arouca 30 9 4 17 -20 31
16 Moreirense 30 6 7 17 -18 25
17 Tondela 31 5 8 18 -27 23
18 Nacional 31 4 8 19 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -16 Porto – Chaves 2–1

Match report

Chaves Porto
30′
🟨 Otávio
Renan Bressan 🟨
41′
Pedro Queiros 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
52′
Tiquinho 0–1
Nélson Lenho 🟨
55′
Davidson 🔁
↦ Bruno Braga
63′
Willian 🔁
↦ Perdigão
63′
Davidson 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Jesús Corona
72′
André André 0–2
Otavinho
Hamdou Elhouni 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
73′
Carlos Ponck 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 João Carlos
↦ Otavinho
81′
🔁 H. Herrera
↦ André André
89′
🟥 Maxi Pereira
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Chaves

4-4-2
1 António Filipe G
14 Nuno Coelho D
21 Nelson Lenho D
24 Pedro Queirós D
12 R. Bressan M
25 Bruno Braga M
15 Pedro Tiba M
26 Ponck D
9 Rafael Lopes F
10 Perdigão F
47 Fábio Martins M
Bench (7)
91 Davidson
99 Willian
17 Hamdou Elhouni
8 João Patrão
23 Emanuel Novo
29 Rafael Batatinha
92 Victor Guilherme

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Porto

4-2-3-1
1 Casillas G
2 M. Pereira D
5 Ivan Marcano D
13 Alex Telles D
28 Felipe D
20 André André M
25 Otavinho M
6 Rúben Neves M
19 Diogo Jota F
29 Tiquinho F
17 Jesús Corona M
Bench (7)
30 Óliver Torres
18 João Carlos
16 H. Herrera
4 W. Boly
10 André Silva
12 José Sá
59 Rui Sousa

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Xistra · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.