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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 11. · Boavista 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 7 7 0 0 +16 21
2 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 +10 16
4 Maritimo 7 5 0 2 +3 15
5 Sp Braga 7 4 0 3 +0 12
6 Rio Ave 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Belenenses 7 3 1 3 -2 10
8 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 -6 10
9 Feirense 7 2 2 3 -2 8
10 Chaves 7 2 1 4 -2 7
11 Vitoria Setubal 6 1 3 2 +0 6
12 Boavista 6 2 0 4 -2 6
13 Pacos Ferreira 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Portimonense 7 2 0 5 -6 6
15 Estoril 7 2 0 5 -6 6
16 Moreirense 7 1 3 3 -7 6
17 Tondela 7 1 2 4 -2 5
18 Aves 7 1 2 4 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Boavista
32′
🔁 Mateus
↦ Kuca
Half-time 1–0
1–0 João Amaral
50′
63′
🔁 Tiago Mesquita
↦ Edu Machado
Rafinha 🔁
↦ Willyan
65′
Edinho 🔁
↦ Nenê Bonilha
78′
79′
🔁 Rui Sousa
↦ S. Sparagna
86′
Mateus 1–1
I. Bulos
90′
🟨 Fábio Espinho
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-3-3
88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
14 Pedro Pinto D
8 Nenê Bonilha M
27 André Pedrosa M
9 Gonçalo Paciência F
11 Costinha M
28 Willyan M
7 A. Issoko D
24 João Amaral M
Bench (7)
17 Rafinha
36 Edinho
1 Cristiano
5 César
6 Tomás Podstawski
16 André Sousa
23 Vasco Costa

Coach: José Couceiro

Boavista

4-2-3-1
33 Vagner G
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
22 S. Sparagna M
3 Raphael Branco D
25 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
42 I. Mandiang M
7 Renato Santos M
19 I. Bulos F
18 Kuca M
Bench (7)
9 Mateus
28 Tiago Mesquita
27 Rui Sousa
1 R. Spiegel
6 Robson
16 Rochinha
45 Gilson Costa

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.