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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira
Boavista
S U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Rio Ave
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Rio Ave 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Porto 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Rio Ave 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Moreirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Feirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Tondela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Boavista 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Sp Braga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Aves 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Estoril 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Rio Ave
Fábio Espinho 🟨
2′
29′
Guedes 0–1
Rúben Ribeiro
33′
🟨 Óscar Barreto
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Pelé
Mateus 🔁
↦ Renato Santos
54′
A. Tahar 🔁
↦ Carraça
55′
Rochinha 🟨
56′
68′
🔁 A. Karamanos
↦ Guedes
R. Clarke 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
71′
Vitor Bruno 🟨
75′
1–1 Rochinha
Tiago Mesquita
76′
79′
🟨 Marcelo
80′
🔁 Gabrielzinho
↦ O. Barreto
84′
🔁 Pedro Moreira
↦ Chico Geraldes
85′
Pedro Moreira 1–2
Yuri Ribeiro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Boavista

4-3-3
33 Vagner G
23 Nuno Henrique D
28 Tiago Mesquita D
90 Vítor Bruno D
6 Robson
10 Fábio Espinho M
42 I. Mandiang M
17 Carraça D
16 Rochinha M
7 Renato Santos M
29 L. Acevedo F
Bench (7)
9 Mateus
21 A. Tahar
11 R. Clarke
1 R. Spiegel
20 Edu Machado
22 S. Sparagna
95 A. Bukia

Coach: Miguel Leal

Rio Ave

4-4-2
1 Cássio
3 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
96 Marcão Teixeira D
10 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 Tarantini M
25 Pelé M
70 O. Barreto M
12 Chico Geraldes M
7 Guedes F
Bench (7)
14 A. Karamanos
26 Gabrielzinho
6 Pedro Moreira
4 Nélson Monte
13 Bruno Teles
20 Nuno Santos
71 Rui Vieira

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.