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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Maritimo
T S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 62%
54%
69%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
30 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 5. · Sp Braga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 14 11 3 0 +31 36
2 Sp Lisbon 14 11 3 0 +21 36
3 Benfica 14 10 3 1 +23 33
4 Sp Braga 13 9 1 3 +13 28
5 Maritimo 13 7 3 3 +4 24
6 Rio Ave 14 7 2 5 +5 23
7 Guimaraes 14 7 2 5 -4 23
8 Chaves 14 5 3 6 -3 18
9 Boavista 14 5 2 7 -3 17
10 Belenenses 14 5 2 7 -4 17
11 Portimonense 14 4 4 6 -2 16
12 Tondela 14 4 3 7 -4 15
13 Aves 14 3 4 7 -8 13
14 Pacos Ferreira 14 3 4 7 -12 13
15 Feirense 14 3 2 9 -8 11
16 Vitoria Setubal 14 2 4 8 -15 10
17 Moreirense 14 1 5 8 -14 8
18 Estoril 14 2 2 10 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Sp Braga
43′
🟨 Marcelo Goiano
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Zainadine Junior
Edgar Costa
55′
73′
🔁 Koka
↦ Bruno Xadas
Charles 🟨
77′
Ibson 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
79′
Fábio Pacheco 🟨
80′
82′
🟨 Raul Silva
85′
🔁 André Horta
↦ N.S. Vukčević
85′
🔁 Ricardo Horta
↦ Marcelo Goiano
Diney 🔁
↦ Valente
86′
Everton 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Pinho
89′
90′
🟨 Nikola Vukčević
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
94 Charles G
23 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
3 Drausio D
45 Fábio China D
66 Fabio Pacheco M
15 Jean Cleber M
21 Gamboa M
12 Edgar Costa F
33 Valente M
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
7 Ibson
24 Diney
93 Everton
1 A. Abedzadeh
10 G. Ghazaryan
14 Luís Martins
29 Filipe Oliveira

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
4 Jefferson D
34 Raúl Silva D
24 Ricardo Ferreira D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
87 Marcelo Goiano D
35 N.S. Vukčević M
11 Danilo Barbosa M
10 Bruno Xadas M
99 Dyego Sousa F
26 Fábio Martins M
Bench (7)
9 Koka
15 André Horta
21 Ricardo Horta
5 Sequeira
23 João Carlos
25 André Moreira
36 Bruno Vianna

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.