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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Malheiro

Maritimo

S S T U T

2–0

Full-time

Tondela

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 5. · Tondela 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+17	26
2	Porto	9	8	1	0	+21	25
3	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Sp Braga	9	6	0	3	+7	18
5	Maritimo	9	5	1	3	+1	16
6	Rio Ave	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Boavista	9	4	1	4	+2	13
8	Belenenses	9	4	1	4	-3	13
9	Feirense	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Guimaraes	9	3	2	4	-7	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	9	2	4	3	+1	10
12	Tondela	9	2	3	4	+0	9
13	Pacos Ferreira	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	Portimonense	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Chaves	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Aves	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Moreirense	9	1	3	5	-9	6
18	Estoril	9	2	0	7	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Maritimo	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Belenenses	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Guimaraes	5	3	1	1	-2	10
8	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
9	Vitoria Setubal	5	2	3	0	+4	9
10	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+2	9
11	Pacos Ferreira	4	2	2	0	+2	8
12	Portimonense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Feirense	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Aves	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Estoril	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Porto	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Benfica	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Boavista	5	1	1	3	+0	4
7	Feirense	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	Chaves	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Belenenses	5	1	0	4	-6	3
13	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	Aves	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Guimaraes	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Portimonense	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.