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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Lazio
S S T U S
1–3
Full-time
Torino
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 49%
71%
27%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
86%
53%
Both score Ø 70%
79%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
20 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 2
6 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 5. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 16 12 4 0 +23 40
2 Napoli 16 12 3 1 +25 39
3 Juventus 16 12 2 2 +27 38
4 Roma 15 11 2 2 +17 35
5 Lazio 14 10 2 2 +19 32
6 Sampdoria 15 8 3 4 +8 27
7 Milan 16 7 3 6 +2 24
8 Fiorentina 16 6 4 6 +7 22
9 Bologna 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Chievo 16 5 6 5 -9 21
11 Atalanta 15 5 5 5 +2 20
12 Torino 15 4 8 3 -2 20
13 Udinese 15 6 0 9 -1 18
14 Cagliari 16 5 2 9 -11 17
15 Sassuolo 16 4 2 10 -18 14
16 Genoa 15 3 4 8 -7 13
17 Crotone 16 3 3 10 -20 12
18 Spal 16 2 5 9 -13 11
19 Verona 16 2 4 10 -18 10
20 Benevento 16 0 1 15 -30 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Torino
41′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
Ciro Immobile 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–1
54′
Álex Berenguer 0–1
Felipe Anderson 🔁
↦ A. Marušić
55′
D. Basta 🔁
↦ Bastos
55′
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
58′
64′
T. Rincón 0–2
Sergej Milinković-Savić 🟨
68′
1–2 Luis Alberto
69′
70′
🔁 S. Edera
↦ Iago Falqué
73′
S. Edera 1–3
D. Baselli
75′
🔁 J. Obi
↦ D. Baselli
85′
🔁 A. Acquah
↦ T. Rincón
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
15 Bastos D
77 A. Marušić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
18 Luis Alberto F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
10 Felipe Anderson
8 D. Basta
20 F. Caicedo
25 I. Vargić
66 Bruno Jordão
4 Patric
5 J. Lukaku
23 G. Guerrieri
13 Wallace
96 A. Murgia
29 S. Palombi
27 Luiz Felipe

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
3 C. Molinaro D
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
5 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (12)
20 S. Edera
22 J. Obi
6 A. Acquah
61 B. Kone
32 V. Savić
60 A. Fiordaliso
97 Lyanco
24 E. Moretti
1 S. Ichazo
31 L. Boyé
19 M. De Luca
23 A. Barreca

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.