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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Rio Ave
S T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Aves
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Aves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
48%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 5. · Aves 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 23 19 4 0 +50 61
2 Benfica 23 17 5 1 +44 56
3 Sp Lisbon 23 17 5 1 +33 56
4 Sp Braga 23 16 1 6 +25 49
5 Rio Ave 23 11 3 9 +0 36
6 Chaves 23 9 6 8 -6 33
7 Boavista 23 9 3 11 -9 30
8 Maritimo 23 8 6 9 -10 30
9 Guimaraes 23 9 2 12 -13 29
10 Portimonense 23 7 6 10 -1 27
11 Tondela 23 7 4 12 -9 25
12 Belenenses 23 6 6 11 -13 24
13 Aves 23 5 6 12 -11 21
14 Vitoria Setubal 23 4 9 10 -14 21
15 Pacos Ferreira 23 5 6 12 -16 21
16 Estoril 23 6 3 14 -21 21
17 Feirense 23 6 2 15 -13 20
18 Moreirense 23 4 7 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Sep -17 Aves – Rio Ave 0–0

Match report

Rio Ave Aves
16′
🟨 Mama Baldé
Lionn 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Nildo Petrolina
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 Sami
↦ Baldé
Gabrielzinho 🔁
↦ Diego Lopes
59′
61′
🟨 Nélson Lenho
66′
🔁 Bruno Braga
↦ Paulo Machado
Marcão Teixeira 🔁
↦ Marcelo
78′
Marcão 🟥
83′
Pedro Moreira 🔁
↦ Chico Geraldes
85′
87′
🟨 Braga
89′
🔁 C. Arango
↦ Vitor Gomes
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
3 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
4 Nélson Monte D
8 Tarantini M
25 Pelé M
17 João Novais M
10 Diego Lopes M
12 Chico Geraldes M
7 Guedes F
Bench (7)
26 Gabrielzinho
96 Marcão Teixeira
6 Pedro Moreira
20 Nuno Santos
22 Eliseu Cassamá
70 O. Barreto
90 G. Makaridze

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Aves

4-2-3-1
83 Adriano Facchini G
21 Nelson Lenho D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
10 Paulo Machado M
30 Vitor Gomes M
16 Nildo Petrolina M
26 Ponck D
29 Claudio Falcão M
23 Amilton M
50 Baldé M
Bench (7)
22 Sami
19 Bruno Braga
99 C. Arango
1 Quim
15 F. Tissone
20 F. Falcone
46 Jorge Fellipe

Coach: José Mota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.