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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Benfica
U S S S U
5–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
70%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
6 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 3. · Rio Ave 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 20 15 5 0 +32 50
2 Porto 19 15 4 0 +37 49
3 Benfica 20 14 5 1 +34 47
4 Sp Braga 20 14 1 5 +20 43
5 Rio Ave 20 10 3 7 +6 33
6 Maritimo 20 8 5 7 -4 29
7 Boavista 20 8 3 9 -3 27
8 Chaves 20 7 6 7 -4 27
9 Guimaraes 20 8 2 10 -8 26
10 Tondela 20 6 4 10 -9 22
11 Portimonense 20 5 6 9 -4 21
12 Belenenses 20 5 6 9 -9 21
13 Pacos Ferreira 20 5 6 9 -12 21
14 Feirense 20 6 2 12 -8 20
15 Moreirense 20 3 7 10 -15 16
16 Vitoria Setubal 20 2 9 9 -16 15
17 Estoril 19 4 3 12 -20 15
18 Aves 20 3 5 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Rio Ave
9′
Guedes 0–1
Chico Geraldes
Rafa Silva 🔁
↦ E. Salvio
35′
44′
🟨 Bruno Teles
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Jardel
F. Cervi
49′
2–1 Pizzi
Jonas
63′
67′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ O. Barreto
3–1 Jonas
Jardel
71′
Jonas 🟨
73′
76′
🟨 Nelson Monte
78′
🔁 Pedro Moreira
↦ Leandrinho
R. Jiménez 🔁
↦ Jonas
81′
4–1 Rúben Dias
Pizzi
83′
5–1 R. Jiménez
Rafa Silva
87′
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
88′
88′
🔁 Diego Lopes
↦ Chico Geraldes
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-1-4-1
30 Bruno Varela G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
66 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
18 E. Salvio F
17 A. Živković M
22 F. Cervi F
10 Jonas F
Bench (7)
27 Rafa Silva
9 R. Jiménez
90 João Carvalho
4 Luisão
7 A. Samaris
1 M. Svilar
14 H. Seferović

Coach: Rui Vitória

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
13 Bruno Teles D
46 Marcelo D
4 Nélson Monte D
96 Marcão Teixeira D
8 Tarantini M
70 O. Barreto M
21 Leandrinho M
17 João Novais M
12 Chico Geraldes M
7 Guedes F
Bench (7)
20 Nuno Santos
6 Pedro Moreira
10 Diego Lopes
19 André
26 Gabrielzinho
43 Silvério
71 Rui Vieira

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.