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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Aves

T T T U T

0–2

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 59%

56%

61%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 24

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 16. · Pacos Ferreira 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	18	15	3	0	+37	48
2	Sp Lisbon	19	14	5	0	+31	47
3	Benfica	19	14	4	1	+34	46
4	Sp Braga	19	13	1	5	+18	40
5	Rio Ave	18	9	3	6	+7	30
6	Maritimo	19	8	5	6	-3	29
7	Chaves	19	7	5	7	-4	26
8	Boavista	18	7	3	8	-2	24
9	Guimaraes	18	7	2	9	-9	23
10	Tondela	19	6	4	9	-6	22
11	Belenenses	19	5	5	9	-9	20
12	Portimonense	19	4	6	9	-7	18
13	Feirense	18	5	2	11	-8	17
14	Moreirense	18	3	6	9	-14	15
15	Pacos Ferreira	18	3	6	9	-15	15
16	Aves	18	3	5	10	-13	14
17	Vitoria Setubal	19	2	8	9	-16	14
18	Estoril	17	3	3	11	-21	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+19	26
3	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+22	25
4	Sp Braga	10	8	0	2	+16	24
5	Maritimo	10	6	3	1	+6	21
6	Rio Ave	9	5	1	3	+4	16
7	Belenenses	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Boavista	9	5	0	4	-2	15
9	Portimonense	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Chaves	9	3	4	2	+3	13
11	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Guimaraes	8	4	1	3	-4	13
13	Vitoria Setubal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
14	Tondela	10	3	2	5	-4	11
15	Feirense	9	3	1	5	-4	10
16	Moreirense	9	1	5	3	-5	8
17	Estoril	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Aves	9	1	2	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	6	3	1	+12	21
2	Sp Lisbon	9	6	3	0	+12	21
3	Porto	8	6	2	0	+12	20
4	Sp Braga	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Chaves	10	4	1	5	-7	13
7	Tondela	9	3	2	4	-2	11
8	Guimaraes	10	3	1	6	-5	10
9	Boavista	9	2	3	4	+0	9
10	Aves	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Feirense	9	2	1	6	-4	7
13	Moreirense	9	2	1	6	-9	7
14	Belenenses	10	1	2	7	-13	5
15	Estoril	9	1	2	6	-14	5
16	Portimonense	10	0	4	6	-11	4
17	Vitoria Setubal	9	0	3	6	-13	3
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.