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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Pacos Ferreira

S T T U T

0–0

Full-time

Rio Ave

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Rio Ave 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	+63	85
2	Benfica	33	24	6	3	+57	78
3	Sp Lisbon	33	24	6	3	+40	78
4	Sp Braga	33	24	3	6	+46	75
5	Rio Ave	32	14	5	13	-3	47
6	Chaves	33	12	8	13	-9	44
7	Maritimo	33	12	8	13	-14	44
8	Guimaraes	33	13	4	16	-10	43
9	Boavista	33	12	6	15	-10	42
10	Tondela	33	10	8	15	-8	38
11	Belenenses	33	9	10	14	-12	37
12	Portimonense	33	9	8	16	-10	35
13	Aves	33	9	7	17	-14	34
14	Moreirense	33	8	8	17	-20	32
15	Feirense	33	9	3	21	-16	30
16	Vitoria Setubal	33	6	11	16	-24	29
17	Pacos Ferreira	32	7	8	17	-24	29
18	Estoril	33	8	5	20	-32	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	16	1	0	+42	49
2	Sp Lisbon	17	14	3	0	+28	45
3	Sp Braga	17	14	1	2	+27	43
4	Benfica	16	13	1	2	+37	40
5	Rio Ave	16	10	3	3	+13	33
6	Boavista	16	10	2	4	+6	32
7	Maritimo	16	9	4	3	+8	31
8	Guimaraes	16	9	3	4	-1	30
9	Belenenses	17	7	5	5	+3	26
10	Chaves	17	6	6	5	+1	24
11	Portimonense	16	7	2	7	+1	23
12	Pacos Ferreira	16	6	5	5	-3	23
13	Vitoria Setubal	16	5	6	5	-1	21
14	Moreirense	17	5	6	6	-5	21
15	Feirense	16	6	2	8	-4	20
16	Tondela	17	5	3	9	-5	18
17	Aves	16	5	3	8	-6	18
18	Estoril	17	5	3	9	-12	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	17	11	5	1	+20	38
2	Porto	16	11	3	2	+21	36
3	Sp Lisbon	16	10	3	3	+12	33
4	Sp Braga	16	10	2	4	+19	32
5	Tondela	16	5	5	6	-3	20
6	Chaves	16	6	2	8	-10	20
7	Aves	17	4	4	9	-8	16
8	Rio Ave	16	4	2	10	-16	14
9	Guimaraes	17	4	1	12	-9	13
10	Maritimo	17	3	4	10	-22	13
11	Portimonense	17	2	6	9	-11	12
12	Moreirense	16	3	2	11	-15	11
13	Belenenses	16	2	5	9	-15	11
14	Estoril	16	3	2	11	-20	11
15	Feirense	17	3	1	13	-12	10
16	Boavista	17	2	4	11	-16	10
17	Vitoria Setubal	17	1	5	11	-23	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	16	1	3	12	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.