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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Sp Lisbon

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Boavista

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 55%

73%

37%

Points per game

2,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

43%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

43%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Boavista 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	31	24	5	2	+58	77
2	Porto	30	24	4	2	+57	76
3	Sp Braga	31	23	2	6	+45	71
4	Sp Lisbon	30	22	5	3	+38	71
5	Rio Ave	31	13	5	13	-4	44
6	Maritimo	31	12	8	11	-10	44
7	Chaves	31	11	8	12	-11	41
8	Boavista	30	11	5	14	-10	38
9	Guimaraes	31	11	4	16	-14	37
10	Tondela	31	9	8	14	-6	35
11	Portimonense	31	9	8	14	-8	35
12	Belenenses	31	8	10	13	-12	34
13	Moreirense	31	8	8	15	-16	32
14	Vitoria Setubal	30	6	11	13	-17	29
15	Pacos Ferreira	31	7	8	16	-23	29
16	Aves	31	7	7	17	-18	28
17	Feirense	31	8	3	20	-17	27
18	Estoril	31	7	5	19	-32	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	15	14	1	0	+37	43
2	Sp Braga	16	14	0	2	+27	42
3	Sp Lisbon	15	13	2	0	+27	41
4	Benfica	15	13	1	1	+38	40
5	Maritimo	15	9	4	2	+9	31
6	Rio Ave	15	9	3	3	+12	30
7	Boavista	15	9	2	4	+5	29
8	Guimaraes	15	8	3	4	-2	27
9	Belenenses	15	6	5	4	+3	23
10	Portimonense	15	7	2	6	+2	23
11	Pacos Ferreira	16	6	5	5	-3	23
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	6	4	+1	21
13	Chaves	16	5	6	5	-2	21
14	Moreirense	16	5	6	5	-2	21
15	Feirense	16	6	2	8	-4	20
16	Tondela	16	5	3	8	-2	18
17	Aves	15	4	3	8	-7	15
18	Estoril	16	4	3	9	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	11	4	1	+20	37
2	Porto	15	10	3	2	+20	33
3	Sp Lisbon	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Sp Braga	15	9	2	4	+18	29
5	Chaves	15	6	2	7	-9	20
6	Tondela	15	4	5	6	-4	17
7	Rio Ave	16	4	2	10	-16	14
8	Aves	16	3	4	9	-11	13
9	Maritimo	16	3	4	9	-19	13
10	Portimonense	16	2	6	8	-10	12
11	Moreirense	15	3	2	10	-14	11
12	Belenenses	16	2	5	9	-15	11
13	Estoril	15	3	2	10	-19	11
14	Guimaraes	16	3	1	12	-12	10
15	Boavista	15	2	3	10	-15	9
16	Vitoria Setubal	15	1	5	9	-18	8
17	Feirense	15	2	1	12	-13	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.