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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Malheiro

Portimonense

T S U S U

0–1

Full-time

Estoril

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

2,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

66%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

69%

38%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Portimonense 10. · Estoril 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	29	23	5	1	+58	74
2	Porto	29	23	4	2	+56	73
3	Sp Braga	30	22	2	6	+43	68
4	Sp Lisbon	29	21	5	3	+37	68
5	Rio Ave	29	13	4	12	-3	43
6	Maritimo	29	12	7	10	-8	43
7	Boavista	29	11	4	14	-10	37
8	Chaves	29	10	7	12	-12	37
9	Guimaraes	29	11	3	15	-13	36
10	Portimonense	29	9	8	12	-6	35
11	Belenenses	29	8	9	12	-11	33
12	Tondela	29	8	7	14	-9	31
13	Vitoria Setubal	29	6	10	13	-17	28
14	Moreirense	29	7	7	15	-17	28
15	Pacos Ferreira	30	7	7	16	-23	28
16	Aves	29	6	7	16	-16	25
17	Feirense	29	7	3	19	-17	24
18	Estoril	29	6	5	18	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	15	14	1	0	+37	43
2	Sp Lisbon	15	13	2	0	+27	41
3	Benfica	14	13	1	0	+39	40
4	Sp Braga	15	13	0	2	+25	39
5	Maritimo	14	9	3	2	+9	30
6	Rio Ave	14	9	2	3	+12	29
7	Boavista	14	9	1	4	+5	28
8	Guimaraes	14	8	2	4	-2	26
9	Belenenses	14	6	5	3	+4	23
10	Portimonense	14	7	2	5	+3	23
11	Pacos Ferreira	15	6	4	5	-3	22
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	6	4	+1	21
13	Chaves	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-3	18
15	Feirense	15	5	2	8	-5	17
16	Tondela	15	4	3	8	-5	15
17	Estoril	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Aves	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Porto	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Sp Braga	15	9	2	4	+18	29
4	Sp Lisbon	14	8	3	3	+10	27
5	Chaves	14	6	1	7	-9	19
6	Tondela	14	4	4	6	-4	16
7	Rio Ave	15	4	2	9	-15	14
8	Aves	15	3	4	8	-8	13
9	Maritimo	15	3	4	8	-17	13
10	Portimonense	15	2	6	7	-9	12
11	Guimaraes	15	3	1	11	-11	10
12	Moreirense	14	3	1	10	-14	10
13	Belenenses	15	2	4	9	-15	10
14	Boavista	15	2	3	10	-15	9
15	Estoril	14	2	2	10	-20	8
16	Feirense	14	2	1	11	-12	7
17	Vitoria Setubal	14	1	4	9	-18	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.