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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Rio Ave

S U S U T

1–3

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

50%

70%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 11

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 26

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 5. · Sp Lisbon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	9	0	2	+16	27
2	Sp Braga	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Benfica	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Sp Lisbon	10	7	1	2	+8	22
5	Rio Ave	10	5	3	2	+4	18
6	Guimaraes	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Vitoria Setubal	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Moreirense	11	5	1	5	-5	16
9	Belenenses	11	3	6	2	+0	15
10	Santa Clara	11	4	2	5	+0	14
11	Portimonense	11	4	2	5	-5	14
12	Nacional	11	3	3	5	-8	12
13	Aves	11	3	1	7	-5	10
14	Maritimo	11	3	1	7	-8	10
15	Tondela	11	2	3	6	-3	9
16	Boavista	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Feirense	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Chaves	11	2	1	8	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+8	15
4	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Rio Ave	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Portimonense	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Moreirense	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Vitoria Setubal	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Guimaraes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Aves	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Santa Clara	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Maritimo	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Feirense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Nacional	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
4	Belenenses	6	2	4	0	+2	10
5	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Moreirense	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Aves	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Chaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3
18	Feirense	6	1	0	5	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.