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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Sp Lisbon

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Rio Ave

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 60%

73%

46%

Points per game

2,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

46%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

6 Offside 1

26 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 3. · Rio Ave 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	27	22	4	1	+56	70
2	Benfica	27	21	5	1	+55	68
3	Sp Lisbon	26	19	5	2	+34	62
4	Sp Braga	27	20	1	6	+38	61
5	Rio Ave	26	12	4	10	+0	40
6	Maritimo	27	11	6	10	-11	39
7	Boavista	27	11	3	13	-9	36
8	Chaves	27	10	6	11	-10	36
9	Guimaraes	27	10	3	14	-14	33
10	Portimonense	27	8	7	12	-7	31
11	Tondela	27	8	5	14	-9	29
12	Belenenses	27	7	8	12	-13	29
13	Aves	27	6	7	14	-11	25
14	Moreirense	27	6	7	14	-17	25
15	Vitoria Setubal	27	5	10	12	-19	25
16	Pacos Ferreira	27	6	7	14	-19	25
17	Feirense	27	7	2	18	-14	23
18	Estoril	27	6	4	17	-30	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	13	1	0	+35	40
2	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+37	37
3	Sp Braga	14	12	0	2	+24	36
4	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+23	35
5	Maritimo	13	8	3	2	+6	27
6	Boavista	13	9	0	4	+5	27
7	Rio Ave	13	8	2	3	+10	26
8	Guimaraes	13	7	2	4	-5	23
9	Vitoria Setubal	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Portimonense	13	6	2	5	+2	20
11	Belenenses	13	5	5	3	+2	20
12	Pacos Ferreira	13	5	4	4	-1	19
13	Chaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Feirense	14	5	1	8	-5	16
15	Moreirense	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Tondela	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Estoril	14	4	2	8	-12	14
18	Aves	13	3	3	7	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	9	4	1	+18	31
2	Porto	13	9	3	1	+21	30
3	Sp Lisbon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
4	Sp Braga	13	8	1	4	+14	25
5	Chaves	13	6	1	6	-7	19
6	Tondela	13	4	3	6	-4	15
7	Rio Ave	13	4	2	7	-10	14
8	Aves	14	3	4	7	-6	13
9	Maritimo	14	3	3	8	-17	12
10	Portimonense	14	2	5	7	-9	11
11	Guimaraes	14	3	1	10	-9	10
12	Moreirense	13	3	1	9	-13	10
13	Boavista	14	2	3	9	-14	9
14	Belenenses	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Estoril	13	2	2	9	-18	8
16	Feirense	13	2	1	10	-9	7
17	Pacos Ferreira	14	1	3	10	-18	6
18	Vitoria Setubal	13	0	4	9	-21	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.