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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva

Santa Clara

S T S S S

1–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

50%

63%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santa Clara 6. · Sp Lisbon 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	0	2	+14	21
2	Sp Braga	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Benfica	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Rio Ave	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Sp Lisbon	8	5	1	2	+6	16
6	Santa Clara	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Moreirense	9	4	1	4	-5	13
8	Guimaraes	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Belenenses	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Maritimo	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Tondela	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	Feirense	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Boavista	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Chaves	8	2	1	5	-6	7
17	Nacional	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Aves	8	1	1	6	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Rio Ave	4	4	0	0	+5	12
4	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Portimonense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Vitoria Setubal	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Feirense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Aves	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Nacional	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Sp Braga	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Benfica	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Belenenses	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Moreirense	5	2	0	3	-5	6
8	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Nacional	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Feirense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Chaves	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Aves	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.