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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva

Feirense

U U U T T

1–3

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

10%

60%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

30%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

35%

70%

Average goals

2,0

3,1

Scored

0,6

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 25

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feirense 18. · Sp Lisbon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	21	16	3	2	+30	51
2	Benfica	21	16	2	3	+37	50
3	Sp Braga	21	15	4	2	+22	49
4	Sp Lisbon	20	12	3	5	+14	39
5	Moreirense	21	11	2	8	-2	35
6	Guimaraes	21	9	5	7	+4	32
7	Belenenses	20	7	8	5	+1	29
8	Rio Ave	21	7	7	7	+0	28
9	Portimonense	21	8	3	10	-5	27
10	Santa Clara	21	7	3	11	-3	24
11	Tondela	21	6	5	10	-5	23
12	Boavista	21	6	4	11	-10	22
13	Vitoria Setubal	20	5	6	9	-4	21
14	Aves	21	6	3	12	-11	21
15	Maritimo	21	6	2	13	-13	20
16	Nacional	21	5	5	11	-25	20
17	Chaves	21	5	3	13	-14	18
18	Feirense	20	2	8	10	-16	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Sp Lisbon	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Porto	10	9	0	1	+20	27
4	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+26	25
5	Moreirense	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Portimonense	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Guimaraes	10	5	3	2	+4	18
8	Rio Ave	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Boavista	11	5	1	5	+0	16
10	Belenenses	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Tondela	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Aves	11	3	3	5	-1	12
13	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Chaves	10	3	2	5	-3	11
15	Nacional	11	3	2	6	-9	11
16	Santa Clara	11	3	1	7	-5	10
17	Maritimo	10	3	1	6	-6	10
18	Feirense	9	1	5	3	-2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Porto	11	7	3	1	+10	24
3	Sp Braga	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Moreirense	11	5	0	6	-6	15
5	Santa Clara	10	4	2	4	+2	14
6	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	+0	14
7	Belenenses	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	+0	11
9	Rio Ave	10	3	2	5	-2	11
10	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Maritimo	11	3	1	7	-7	10
12	Tondela	10	2	3	5	-3	9
13	Portimonense	10	3	0	7	-9	9
14	Aves	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Nacional	10	2	3	5	-16	9
16	Chaves	11	2	1	8	-11	7
17	Boavista	10	1	3	6	-10	6
18	Feirense	11	1	3	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.