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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Guingamp
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Lille
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 38%
14%
61%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Lille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 19 2 1 +55 59
2 Lille 23 14 4 5 +18 46
3 Lyon 23 12 7 4 +12 43
4 Montpellier 23 9 10 4 +12 37
5 St Etienne 22 10 7 5 +7 37
6 Marseille 24 11 4 9 +4 37
7 Strasbourg 23 9 8 6 +12 35
8 Reims 24 8 11 5 -1 35
9 Nice 23 9 7 7 -5 34
10 Nimes 24 9 6 9 +0 33
11 Rennes 23 9 6 8 +0 33
12 Angers 24 7 9 8 -2 30
13 Bordeaux 23 7 7 9 -2 28
14 Toulouse 24 6 9 9 -11 27
15 Nantes 23 6 6 11 -4 24
16 Amiens 24 6 3 15 -19 21
17 Dijon 23 5 5 13 -16 20
18 Monaco 24 4 7 13 -18 19
19 Caen 23 3 9 11 -12 18
20 Guingamp 22 3 5 14 -30 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Lille
31′
🟨 Gabriel
Didier N'Dong 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
N. Benezet 🔁
↦ M. Coco
46′
47′
Rafael Leão 0–1
J. Ikoné
J. Sorbon 🔁
↦ C. Kerbrat
74′
75′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Rafael Leão
Alexandre Mendy 🟨
79′
N. Roux 🔁
↦ D. Ndong
81′
81′
🔁 J. Pied
↦ Y. Koné
89′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ N. Pépé
94′
L. Rémy 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-3-3
16 M. Caillard G
29 C. Kerbrat D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
25 C. Traoré M
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
21 D. Ndong M
6 L. Phiri M
24 M. Coco M
7 L. Blas M
9 A. Mendy F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
15 J. Sorbon
26 N. Roux
8 L. Deaux
13 J. Larsson
23 R. Rodelin
30 D. Petrić

Coach: Vincent Rautureau

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
3 Y. Koné D
17 M. Çelik D
4 Gabriel D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 Xeka M
12 J. Ikoné M
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
7 Rafael Leão F
Bench (7)
20 Thiago Maia
26 J. Pied
9 L. Rémy
1 A. Jakubech
10 Rui Fonte
11 Luiz Araujo
22 K. Dabila

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.