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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Nice

S U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Lyon

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

39%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

22%

48%

Both score Ø 41%

30%

52%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 14

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 10. · Lyon 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	19	2	1	+55	59
2	Lille	24	15	4	5	+20	49
3	Lyon	23	12	7	4	+12	43
4	Montpellier	23	9	10	4	+12	37
5	Marseille	24	11	4	9	+4	37
6	St Etienne	23	10	7	6	+4	37
7	Rennes	24	10	6	8	+3	36
8	Strasbourg	23	9	8	6	+12	35
9	Reims	24	8	11	5	-1	35
10	Nice	23	9	7	7	-5	34
11	Nimes	24	9	6	9	+0	33
12	Angers	24	7	9	8	-2	30
13	Bordeaux	23	7	7	9	-2	28
14	Toulouse	24	6	9	9	-11	27
15	Nantes	23	6	6	11	-4	24
16	Amiens	24	6	3	15	-19	21
17	Dijon	23	5	5	13	-16	20
18	Monaco	24	4	7	13	-18	19
19	Caen	23	3	9	11	-12	18
20	Guingamp	23	3	5	15	-32	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+38	36
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	St Etienne	11	8	2	1	+13	26
4	Lyon	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Marseille	11	6	3	2	+11	21
6	Rennes	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Montpellier	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Reims	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Strasbourg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Nice	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Nantes	12	4	4	4	+6	16
13	Nimes	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	Angers	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Amiens	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Toulouse	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Dijon	11	3	2	6	-8	11
18	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
19	Monaco	12	1	4	7	-13	7
20	Guingamp	12	1	3	8	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Lille	12	7	1	4	+4	22
3	Lyon	11	5	4	2	+2	19
4	Montpellier	11	4	5	2	+3	17
5	Nimes	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	Nice	12	4	5	3	-3	17
7	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Marseille	13	5	1	7	-7	16
9	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Reims	12	3	6	3	-4	15
11	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-7	15
12	Angers	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Monaco	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	St Etienne	12	2	5	5	-9	11
15	Bordeaux	12	2	3	7	-6	9
16	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Caen	12	1	5	6	-8	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.