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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Valencia
T U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Sociedad
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 8. · Sociedad 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 15 5 2 +37 50
2 Real Madrid 23 14 3 6 +13 45
3 Ath Madrid 23 12 8 3 +16 44
4 Sevilla 22 10 6 6 +13 36
5 Getafe 23 9 8 6 +9 35
6 Betis 23 9 5 9 -3 32
7 Alaves 22 9 5 8 -5 32
8 Valencia 22 6 12 4 +4 30
9 Sociedad 22 8 6 8 +2 30
10 Eibar 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Leganes 23 7 8 8 -2 29
12 Espanol 23 8 4 11 -10 28
13 Levante 22 7 6 9 -8 27
14 Ath Bilbao 22 5 11 6 -5 26
15 Valladolid 23 6 8 9 -9 26
16 Celta 23 6 6 11 -4 24
17 Girona 23 5 9 9 -10 24
18 Vallecano 23 6 5 12 -13 23
19 Villarreal 23 3 11 9 -8 20
20 Huesca 23 4 6 13 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Sociedad
Santi Mina 🟨
26′
33′
🟨 Theo Hernández
Half-time 0–0
Cristiano Piccini 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 H. Moreno
↦ Raúl Navas
F. Coquelin 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
62′
Rodrigo 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
66′
66′
🔁 Luca Sangalli
↦ Mikel Merino
Gonçalo Guedes 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
75′
75′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ A. Januzaj
76′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
78′
🟨 Sandro Ramírez
86′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
4 F. Roncaglia D
21 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayá D
10 Dani Parejo M
11 D. Cheryshev M
6 G. Kondogbia M
8 Carlos Soler M
9 K. Gameiro F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
17 F. Coquelin
19 Rodrigo
7 Gonçalo Guedes
1 Jaume Doménech
18 D. Wass
20 Ferrán Torres
23 Rubén Sobrino

Coach: Marcelino

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
22 Raúl Navas D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 T. Hernández D
4 Illarramendi M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
6 H. Moreno
23 Luca Sangalli
24 Sandro Ramírez
7 Juanmi
13 Moyà
14 Rubén Pardo
29 Ahien Muñoz

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.