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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Guimaraes
S U T S U
1–0
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
26%
22%
Both score Ø 35%
43%
26%
Average goals
2,1
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 7. · Maritimo 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 24 19 2 3 +45 59
2 Porto 24 18 3 3 +34 57
3 Sp Braga 24 16 4 4 +18 52
4 Sp Lisbon 24 15 4 5 +21 49
5 Moreirense 24 13 3 8 +2 42
6 Belenenses 24 9 9 6 +6 36
7 Guimaraes 23 10 6 7 +6 36
8 Santa Clara 24 9 4 11 +0 31
9 Rio Ave 24 7 7 10 -3 28
10 Portimonense 24 8 4 12 -9 28
11 Boavista 24 7 5 12 -11 26
12 Nacional 24 7 5 12 -22 26
13 Aves 24 7 4 13 -12 25
14 Vitoria Setubal 24 5 9 10 -6 24
15 Maritimo 23 7 3 13 -12 24
16 Tondela 24 6 5 13 -11 23
17 Chaves 24 5 5 14 -18 20
18 Feirense 24 2 8 14 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -18 Maritimo – Guimaraes 1–3 24. Feb -18 Maritimo – Guimaraes 3–2 24. Sep -17 Guimaraes – Maritimo 2–1 28. Jan -17 Guimaraes – Maritimo 0–0 20. Aug -16 Maritimo – Guimaraes 0–2

Match report

Guimaraes Maritimo
Falaye Sacko 🟨
25′
33′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Rúben Ferreira
38′
🟨 Renê Santos
Tozé 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Welthon 🔁
↦ Alexandre Guedes
46′
Dodô 🔁
↦ F. Sacko
46′
46′
🔁 Lucas Áfrico
↦ Douglas Grolli
1–0 Welthon ⚽
Pêpê Rodrigues
64′
Joseph Amoah 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 Joel
↦ Pedro Pelágio
Pêpê 🟨
77′
O. John 🔁
↦ Tozé
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
56 João Miguel G
5 Rafa D
46 Frederico Venâncio D
24 Y. Osorio D
17 F. Sacko D
20 Tozé M
16 Mattheus M
8 Pêpê Rodrigues M
43 J. Amoah M
9 Alexandre Guedes F
91 Davidson F
Bench (7)
7 Welthon
98 Dodô
30 O. John
21 F. Hanin
1 Douglas Jesus
50 Rochinha
70 André Almeida

Coach: Luís Castro

Maritimo

4-3-3
94 Charles G
5 Zainadine Junior D
3 Douglas Grolli D
17 Rúben Ferreira D
25 Renê D
44 J. Vuković M
60 Pedro Pelágio M
12 Edgar Costa F
23 L. Barrera F
46 Getterson F
31 Nanu D
Bench (7)
8 J. Correa
6 Lucas Áfrico
95 Joel
1 A. Abedzadeh
21 Gamboa
9 Rodrigo Pinho
27 Fabricio Baiano

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.