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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Maritimo
T T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Guimaraes
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 14. · Guimaraes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Porto 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Moreirense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Belenenses 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Tondela 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Estoril 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Guimaraes
Donald Djousse 🟨
7′
17′
🟨 Raphinha
19′
Raphael 0–1
M. Marega
29′
M. Marega 0–2
Tiquinho
Half-time 0–2
G. Nepomuceno 🔁
↦ D. Djoussé
46′
46′
🔁 Alexandre Silva
↦ Raphael
Alex Soares 🟨
50′
53′
🟨 Rafael Miranda
Samuel Santos 🔁
↦ Esquerdinha
53′
Fransergio 🟨
62′
G. Ghazaryan 🔁
↦ Alex Soares
68′
68′
🔁 Tozé
↦ P. Hurtado
86′
🟨 Xande Silva
Gevorg Ghazaryan 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 Moreno
↦ M. Marega
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-1-2
32 Gottardi G
5 Dirceu D
3 Maurício
45 Fábio China D
35 Fransérgio M
2 Coronas D
15 Jean Cleber M
7 Alex Soares M
40 Esquerdinha M
20 D. Djoussé F
90 B. Diawara F
Bench (7)
17 G. Nepomuceno
8 Samuel Santos
10 G. Ghazaryan
50 António Xavier
91 Patrick
94 Charles
34 Raúl Silva

Coach: Paulo César Gusmão

Guimaraes

4-4-2
1 Douglas Jesus G
20 João Aurélio D
3 Josué Sá D
2 Pedrão D
41 Rúben Ferreira D
5 Rafael Miranda M
16 P. Hurtado M
58 João Pedro M
18 Tiquinho F
21 M. Marega F
81 Raphael M
Bench (7)
45 Alexandre Silva
10 Tozé
6 Moreno
4 Marcos Valente
49 Areias
56 João Miguel
76 Bruno Gaspar

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.