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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Leganes
U S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Levante
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
28%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
68%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 14. · Levante 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 18 6 2 +41 60
2 Ath Madrid 26 15 8 3 +21 53
3 Real Madrid 26 15 3 8 +12 48
4 Getafe 26 11 9 6 +11 42
5 Alaves 26 11 7 8 -2 40
6 Sevilla 26 10 7 9 +7 37
7 Valencia 26 7 15 4 +6 36
8 Betis 26 10 6 10 -2 36
9 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 +3 35
10 Eibar 26 8 10 8 -1 34
11 Ath Bilbao 26 7 12 7 -5 33
12 Espanol 26 9 6 11 -8 33
13 Girona 26 7 10 9 -7 31
14 Leganes 25 7 9 9 -5 30
15 Levante 25 8 6 11 -8 30
16 Valladolid 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Celta 26 6 7 13 -8 25
18 Villarreal 26 4 11 11 -8 23
19 Vallecano 26 6 5 15 -17 23
20 Huesca 26 5 7 14 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Levante
1–0 Óscar Rodríguez
13′
30′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
Recio 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Diego Reyes 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 Coke
↦ E. Cabaco
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ G. Carrillo
68′
Iván Cuéllar 🟨
70′
Rodri Tarín 🔁
↦ D. Reyes
70′
75′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ M. Simon
Dimitrios Siovas 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
Juanfran 🔁
↦ D. Siovas
83′
86′
🟨 Jason
86′
🟨 Coke
Rodrigo Tarin 🟨
87′
Óscar Rodríguez 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

3-5-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
24 K. Omeruo D
4 D. Reyes D
14 V. Kravets D
21 Rubén Pérez M
8 Recio M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
25 M. Braithwaite F
9 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
18 Sabin Merino
15 Rodri Tarín
2 Juanfran
10 N. El Zhar
23 Mikel Vesga
29 A. Lunin
20 Michael Santos

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Levante

3-4-1-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
22 Luna D
14 Rúben Vezo D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
23 Jason M
7 M. Simon F
2 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
12 Coke
9 Roger Martí
13 Oier
19 Pedro López
6 Chema
31 Arturo Molina
20 R. Dwamena

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.