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Pro League
Anderlecht
S S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Gent
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
56%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Gent 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 25 15 7 3 +25 52
3 Anderlecht 25 14 7 4 +15 49
4 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
5 Genk 23 13 3 7 +15 42
6 Standard 29 12 3 14 -12 39
7 Mechelen 29 10 7 12 -7 37
8 Kortrijk 27 9 9 9 +0 36
9 Charleroi 25 9 7 9 +3 34
10 Waregem 26 9 6 11 -1 33
11 Lokeren 29 8 8 13 -7 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 7 9 13 -11 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -15 29
16 Beveren 29 8 5 16 -22 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Apr -16 Gent – Anderlecht 1–1

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
1–0 K. Mbodji
38′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 S. Mitrović
↦ Rafinha
54′
🔁 M. Boussoufa
↦ T. Matton
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ S. Defour
55′
69′
🔁 G. Wikheim
↦ Renato Neto
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
82′
2–0 F. Acheampong
87′
O. Deschacht 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
28 A. Büttner
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
8 S. Badji
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (7)
11 F. Đuričić
26 Idrissa Sylla
3 O. Deschacht
9 M. Suárez
24 M. Heylen
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

Gent

1 M. Sels
4 Rafinha
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
8 T. Matton
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
Bench (7)
13 S. Mitrović
6 M. Boussoufa
22 G. Wikheim
7 K. Coulibaly
18 L. Deaux
20 Y. Thoelen
16 R. Schoofs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.