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Pro League
Kortrijk
U T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 42%
13%
71%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
25%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
43%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kortrijk 15. · Anderlecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Club Brugge 9 6 1 2 +15 19
3 Gent 8 5 3 0 +8 18
4 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
5 St Truiden 11 5 1 5 +0 16
6 Waregem 8 5 0 3 +5 15
7 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
8 Charleroi 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 3 4 +0 12
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 3 3 7 -7 12
11 Beveren 10 4 0 6 -7 12
12 Westerlo 13 2 5 6 -9 11
13 Standard 10 3 1 6 -11 10
14 Mechelen 10 2 3 5 -6 9
15 Kortrijk 8 1 4 3 -2 7
16 Lokeren 11 2 1 8 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Anderlecht
1–0 A. Marušić
E. Rolland
9′
A. Van Loo 🔁
↦ S. Gigot
30′
Half-time 1–0
F. Boyer 🔁
↦ B. Poulain
46′
51′
I. Ezekiel 1–1
O. Deschacht
H. Kage 🔁
↦ S. De Smet
60′
65′
🔁 D. Lukebakio
↦ A. Najar
80′
🔁 M. Suárez
↦ I. Ezekiel
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
17 G. De Mets
6 B. Poulain
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
20 S. Gigot
8 N. Pavlović
26 E. Rolland
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
Bench (7)
31 A. Van Loo
3 F. Boyer
18 H. Kage
12 L. Van Eenoo
13 M. Sifakis
44 T. Kiš
88 S. Sarr

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
30 G. Gillet
37 I. Obradović
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
93 I. Ezekiel
Bench (7)
46 D. Lukebakio
9 M. Suárez
14 B. Nuytinck
17 I. Conté
18 F. Acheampong
26 Idrissa Sylla
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.