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Pro League
Anderlecht
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 56%
83%
29%
Points per game
2,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
33%
86%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
0,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Mechelen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
3 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +8 16
4 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Genk 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Waregem 6 3 0 3 +0 9
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 2 3 5 -4 9
10 Beveren 7 3 0 4 -7 9
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
14 Westerlo 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Lokeren 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Standard 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Mechelen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Okaka
L. Dendoncker
55′
59′
🔁 S. De Petter
↦ M. Kosanović
M. Suárez 🔁
↦ I. Ezekiel
65′
72′
🔁 R. Wolski
↦ M. Rits
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
79′
Y. Tielemans 🔁
↦ G. Gillet
79′
83′
🔁 R. Leal
↦ G. Claes
94′
K. Mbodji 2–0
own goal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
30 G. Gillet
37 I. Obradović
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
99 S. Okaka
93 I. Ezekiel
Bench (7)
9 M. Suárez
26 Idrissa Sylla
31 Y. Tielemans
14 B. Nuytinck
18 F. Acheampong
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
3 V. Volkov
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
44 I. Cissé
77 G. Claes
9 D. Veselinović
Bench (7)
12 S. De Petter
10 R. Wolski
8 R. Leal
5 M. Satli
7 T. Matthys
20 J. Van Damme
32 C. Coosemans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.