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Pro League
Anderlecht
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 69%
80%
57%
Points per game
2,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
43%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · St Truiden 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 7 5 2 0 +9 17
2 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
3 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 2 2 5 -4 8
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 2 1 3 -3 7
11 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
13 Beveren 6 2 0 4 -9 6
14 Lokeren 7 1 1 5 -5 4
15 Standard 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St Truiden
1–0 S. Okaka
D. Praet
32′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ Y. Mbombo
I. Ezekiel 🔁
↦ M. Suárez
74′
78′
🔁 H. Momi
↦ Y. Ono
85′
🔁 M. Schils
↦ F. Rherras
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
30 G. Gillet
37 I. Obradović
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
99 S. Okaka
9 M. Suárez
Bench (7)
93 I. Ezekiel
26 Idrissa Sylla
14 B. Nuytinck
17 I. Conté
18 F. Acheampong
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
19 Y. Erichot
8 F. Rherras
25 Y. Ono
16 R. Schoofs
22 Edmilson Junior
10 J. Dompé
29 V. Angban
9 Y. Mbombo
Bench (7)
30 J. Rodríguez
20 H. Momi
21 M. Schils
1 Y. De Winter
5 Alfonso Artabe
15 C. Cuevas
24 S. Nirisarike

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.