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Pro League
Charleroi
S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 13. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
3 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
4 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +8 10
5 Gent 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
7 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
9 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Beveren 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Westerlo 8 1 3 4 -7 6
13 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Lokeren 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
16 Standard 5 1 0 4 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Okaka
↦ I. Conté
59′
S. Okaka 0–1
I. Obradović
F. Stevance 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
69′
Clinton Mata 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
75′
1–1 J. Perbet
77′
78′
🔁 A. Kawaya
↦ Y. Tielemans
J. Gálvez López 🔁
↦ A. Baby
89′
91′
🔁 A. Leya
↦ D. Praet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
21 J. Perbet
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
9 F. Stevance
19 Clinton Mata
20 J. Gálvez López
5 B. Boulenger
23 K. Geraerts
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
30 G. Gillet
37 I. Obradović
16 S. Defour
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
17 I. Conté
31 Y. Tielemans
93 I. Ezekiel
Bench (7)
99 S. Okaka
38 A. Kawaya
35 A. Leya
9 M. Suárez
14 B. Nuytinck
18 F. Acheampong
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.