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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Mechelen
T T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 12/7 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
57%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 10. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 9 8 0 1 +15 24
2 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Genk 13 6 2 5 -1 20
4 Standard 13 5 4 4 +8 19
5 Oostende 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Kortrijk 12 4 5 3 +2 17
7 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +9 16
8 Gent 7 5 1 1 +7 16
9 Charleroi 8 4 4 0 +4 16
10 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 +0 15
11 Eupen 13 3 3 7 -12 12
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 3 2 7 -7 11
13 Lokeren 13 3 2 8 -8 11
14 St Truiden 13 2 4 7 -6 10
15 Beveren 12 2 4 6 -10 10
16 Westerlo 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Gent
19′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
28′
🟨 Ibrahim Rabiu
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ K. Saief
46′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ I. Rabiu
Mats Rits 🟨
50′
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
63′
1–0 Ž. Filipović
75′
78′
🔁 J. Perbet
↦ T. Foket
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ D. Kolovos
79′
D. Veselinović 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
85′
90′
🟥 Nana Asare
2–0 U. Vitas
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
14 Chen Xavier
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
30 J. Vanlerberghe F
18 N. Schouterden M
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
7 T. Matthys
3 A. El Messaoudi
9 D. Veselinović
2 L. Paulussen
28 A. Swolfs
77 G. Claes
22 E. Cobbaut

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Gent

20 Y. Thoelen G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Nielsen D
77 D. Miličević F
10 Renato Neto M
40 I. Rabiu M
15 K. Saief M
32 T. Foket M
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
44 A. Esiti
24 J. Perbet
1 J. Rinne
16 R. Schoofs
17 H. Van der Bruggen
55 R. Gershon

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.