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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Mainz

T S T S T

1–3

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 55%

42%

67%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

27% Possession 73%

9 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

6 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 9. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	9	3	0	+17	30
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Hertha	12	7	3	2	+8	24
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	FC Koln	12	6	4	2	+10	22
6	Hoffenheim	12	5	7	0	+7	22
7	Dortmund	12	6	3	3	+13	21
8	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	+4	17
9	Mainz	12	5	2	5	+0	17
10	Leverkusen	12	5	1	6	-1	16
11	Freiburg	12	5	0	7	-8	15
12	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	M'gladbach	12	3	4	5	-6	13
14	Wolfsburg	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Darmstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8
16	Werder Bremen	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Hamburg	12	0	4	8	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	FC Koln	6	4	2	0	+9	14
5	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
7	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+7	12
8	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Hoffenheim	6	3	3	0	+3	12
10	Freiburg	6	4	0	2	-1	12
11	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
12	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Werder Bremen	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Wolfsburg	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Hoffenheim	6	2	4	0	+4	10
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Wolfsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	FC Koln	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Dortmund	6	2	1	3	+3	7
9	Mainz	7	2	1	4	-4	7
10	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Freiburg	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Werder Bremen	6	0	2	4	-13	2
17	M'gladbach	5	0	1	4	-11	1
18	Darmstadt	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.