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Pro League

Referee: Sebastien Delferiere

Gent

U T U S S

3–0

Full-time

Mechelen

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 19/29 matches

Win Ø 51%

53%

48%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

42%

45%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

7 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 8. · Mechelen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	29	14	6	9	+8	48
2	Genk	29	13	6	10	+1	45
3	Waregem	19	13	4	2	+19	43
4	Club Brugge	19	13	2	4	+26	41
5	Standard	29	10	11	8	+9	41
6	Anderlecht	19	12	4	3	+27	40
7	Oostende	19	12	3	4	+20	39
8	Gent	19	10	4	5	+10	34
9	Charleroi	19	9	7	3	+6	34
10	Kortrijk	29	8	7	14	-15	31
11	Lokeren	29	7	9	13	-10	30
12	Beveren	29	7	9	13	-12	30
13	Eupen	29	8	6	15	-22	30
14	St Truiden	29	8	5	16	-13	29
15	Westerlo	29	5	8	16	-28	23
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	29	6	3	20	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	15	10	3	2	+11	33
2	Mechelen	15	10	1	4	+11	31
3	Standard	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	St Truiden	15	7	4	4	+5	25
5	Gent	9	8	0	1	+14	24
6	Waregem	10	7	3	0	+12	24
7	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
8	Charleroi	10	7	2	1	+6	23
9	Anderlecht	9	7	1	1	+21	22
10	Oostende	10	6	3	1	+15	21
11	Lokeren	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Kortrijk	14	5	3	6	+0	18
13	Beveren	15	4	6	5	+0	18
14	Eupen	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	10	6	0	4	+9	18
3	Anderlecht	10	5	3	2	+6	18
4	Oostende	9	6	0	3	+5	18
5	Mechelen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
6	Standard	15	3	7	5	-2	16
7	Kortrijk	15	3	4	8	-15	13
8	Eupen	15	4	1	10	-16	13
9	Genk	14	3	3	8	-10	12
10	Beveren	14	3	3	8	-12	12
11	Charleroi	9	2	5	2	+0	11
12	Westerlo	15	2	5	8	-19	11
13	Gent	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-11	10
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	2	1	11	-15	7
16	St Truiden	14	1	1	12	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.