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Pro League
Referee: Luc Wouters
Charleroi
U T S T S
1–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
41%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
44%
70%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 18 5 4 +32 59
2 Anderlecht 28 17 4 7 +13 55
3 Standard 28 15 7 6 +16 52
4 Genk 27 11 11 5 +7 44
5 Gent 27 12 6 9 +14 42
6 Charleroi 27 11 9 7 +4 42
7 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
8 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Club Brugge
1–0 K. Rezaei
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Vanaken
↦ J. Clasie
60′
🔁 J. Vossen
↦ D. Cools
64′
R. Vormer 1–1
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ M. Fall
70′
71′
H. Vanaken 1–2
J. Vossen
73′
J. Vossen 1–3
E. Dennis
79′
🔁 T. Simons
↦ Wesley
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ A. Baby
81′
Nurio Fortuna 🔁
↦ C. Diandy
81′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
14 C. Benavente
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Fall
9 K. Rezaei
Bench (8)
10 D. Pollet
99 C. Bedia
25 Nurio Fortuna
22 G. Hendrickx
23 S. Willems
35 P. Mandanda
29 R. Grange
2 A. D'Alberto

Coach: F. Mazzù

Club Brugge

22 E. Horvath
5 B. Poulain
24 S. Denswil
44 B. Mechele
21 D. Cools
25 R. Vormer
6 J. Clasie
30 M. Nakamba
11 K. Diatta
7 Wesley
42 E. Dennis
Bench (9)
20 H. Vanaken
9 J. Vossen
3 T. Simons
40 J. Vanlerberghe
1 V. Gabulov
14 I. Tomečak
8 L. Refaelov
2 A. Scholz
35 S. Decarli

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luc Wouters · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
14,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.