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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 5. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 18 5 3 +33 59
2 Anderlecht 26 16 4 6 +14 52
3 Standard 26 13 7 6 +9 46
4 Genk 26 11 11 4 +12 44
5 Gent 26 12 6 8 +15 42
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
8 Charleroi 26 10 9 7 +3 39
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
39′
K. Rezaei 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
46′
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ S. Rosted
62′
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
66′
75′
🔁 R. Grange
↦ M. Fall
82′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ K. Rezaei
90′
🔁 G. Zajkov
↦ C. Benavente
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gent

20 Y. Thoelen
21 N. Asare
4 S. Rosted
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
23 F. Andrijašević
6 B. Verstraete
44 A. Esiti
14 R. Janga
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 M. Simon
Bench (8)
18 S. Kalu
7 G. Chakvetadze
19 B. Dejaegere
1 A. Swolfs
5 N. Dussenne
9 M. Sylla
28 A. Koita
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
14 C. Benavente
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Fall
9 K. Rezaei
Bench (7)
29 R. Grange
10 D. Pollet
6 G. Zajkov
2 A. D'Alberto
20 N. Rodes
25 Nurio Fortuna
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.