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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Genk
U U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Gent
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 4. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 19 5 4 +34 62
2 Anderlecht 28 17 4 7 +13 55
3 Standard 28 15 7 6 +16 52
4 Genk 27 11 11 5 +7 44
5 Gent 27 12 6 9 +14 42
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Charleroi 28 11 9 8 +2 42
8 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
15′
Y. Kubo 0–1
G. Chakvetadze
33′
🔁 S. Kalu
↦ G. Chakvetadze
Half-time 0–1
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
54′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
54′
1–1 M. Samatta
66′
69′
🔁 R. Janga
↦ S. Kalu
79′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ Y. Kubo
S. Dewaest 🔁
↦ J. Aidoo
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

1 D. Vuković
3 B. Nastić
15 O. Colley
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
27 Clinton Mata
7 N. Karelis
14 L. Trossard
77 D. N'Dongala
Bench (9)
4 D. Wouters
10 M. Samatta
6 S. Dewaest
19 T. Buffel
21 J. Uronen
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers
31 J. Mæhle
8 E. Zhegrova

Coach: P. Clement

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
4 S. Rosted
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
19 B. Dejaegere
6 B. Verstraete
7 G. Chakvetadze
31 Y. Kubo
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 M. Simon
Bench (9)
18 S. Kalu
14 R. Janga
44 A. Esiti
5 N. Dussenne
9 M. Sylla
20 Y. Thoelen
23 F. Andrijašević
28 A. Koita
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.