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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Mechelen
T U T S U
3–4
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 9/6 matches
Win Ø 31%
11%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Anderlecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 5 2 2 +2 17
2 Waregem 9 5 1 3 +9 16
3 St Truiden 9 5 1 3 +0 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Charleroi 5 4 1 0 +6 13
7 Beveren 9 3 3 3 +7 12
8 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Lokeren 9 3 1 5 -3 10
10 Genk 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Kortrijk 9 2 3 4 -4 9
12 Mechelen 9 1 5 3 -2 8
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Oostende 9 1 2 6 -8 5
15 Eupen 9 1 2 6 -15 5
16 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
18′
P. Gerkens 0–1
S. Hanni
30′
H. Onyekuru 0–2
S. Hanni
1–2 R. Schoofs
M. Rits
34′
37′
H. Onyekuru 1–3
P. Gerkens
43′
Ł. Teodorczyk 1–4
A. Trebel
Half-time 1–4
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ U. Vitas
46′
Seth De Witte 🟨
53′
N. Pedersen 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
55′
2–4 N. Pedersen
F. Rherras
60′
70′
🟨 Sofiane Hanni
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
72′
74′
🔁 N. Stanciu
↦ S. Hanni
79′
🟨 Frank Boeckx
83′
🟨 Leander Dendoncker
85′
🔁 A. Chipciu
↦ P. Gerkens
90′
🟨 Nicolae Stanciu
3–4 B. Bandé
S. De Witte
91′
92′
🔁 I. Obradović
↦ H. Onyekuru
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-5-2
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
63 F. Rherras D
17 I. Tomečak M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
35 S. Ganvoula F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
3 A. El Messaoudi
9 N. Pedersen
7 T. Matthys
20 D. Kolovos
22 E. Cobbaut
47 A. Kawaya
49 A. Moris

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Anderlecht

3-4-3
23 F. Boeckx G
3 O. Deschacht D
12 D. Appiah D
20 S. Kums M
94 S. Hanni M
4 K. Mbodji D
25 A. Trebel M
8 P. Gerkens M
32 L. Dendoncker M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
9 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
10 N. Stanciu
11 A. Chipciu
37 I. Obradović
2 Josué Sá
99 H. Harbaoui
1 M. Sels
17 M. Bruno

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.